Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
170 Texas Southern 0.0%   17 - 14 16 - 2 17 - 14 16 - 2 -0.2      +1.1 147 -1.3 210 64.0 251 -3.9 227 +1.1 1
190 Southern 100.0%   16   20 - 9 15 - 3 20 - 9 15 - 3 -1.2      -3.4 262 +2.2 112 66.3 201 -1.7 193 -1.7 3
281 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   16 - 14 15 - 3 16 - 14 15 - 3 -7.3      -6.3 311 -1.0 198 71.5 87 -4.7 236 -0.3 2
319 Jackson St. 0.0%   11 - 18 9 - 9 11 - 18 9 - 9 -10.7      -5.0 298 -5.8 315 71.3 91 -11.1 315 -11.6 4
325 Prairie View 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -11.9      -10.4 338 -1.5 215 71.1 95 -11.2 317 -13.1 7
330 Alcorn St. 0.0%   9 - 23 8 - 10 9 - 23 8 - 10 -12.7      -11.0 343 -1.6 216 68.7 140 -13.3 329 -13.0 6
333 Alabama St. 0.0%   9 - 22 8 - 10 9 - 22 8 - 10 -13.8      -7.5 322 -6.3 320 69.8 117 -13.9 334 -12.8 5
339 Alabama A&M 0.0%   9 - 20 6 - 12 9 - 20 6 - 12 -14.8      -8.6 332 -6.2 318 67.6 166 -13.6 333 -16.3 8
342 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   5 - 23 5 - 13 5 - 23 5 - 13 -15.4      -8.6 331 -6.8 326 77.7 20 -18.8 345 -18.2 9
347 Grambling St. 0.0%   0 - 28 0 - 18 0 - 28 0 - 18 -31.8      -17.8 347 -14.0 347 64.5 241 -31.5 347 -30.8 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Texas Southern 1.0 100.0
Southern 2.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2.0 100.0
Jackson St. 4.0 100.0
Prairie View 5.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 5.0 100.0
Alabama St. 5.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 8.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 9.0 100.0
Grambling St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas Southern 16 - 2 100.0
Southern 15 - 3 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 15 - 3 100.0
Jackson St. 9 - 9 100.0
Prairie View 8 - 10 100.0
Alcorn St. 8 - 10 100.0
Alabama St. 8 - 10 100.0
Alabama A&M 6 - 12 100.0
Mississippi Valley 5 - 13 100.0
Grambling St. 0 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0
Southern
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Jackson St.
Prairie View
Alcorn St.
Alabama St.
Alabama A&M
Mississippi Valley
Grambling St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 100.0% 88.3% 55.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 55.4% 0.6 44.6 55.4
2nd Round 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0